EPL Table 2024: Best Odd Bets to Make

The Current State of the 2024 EPL Table: A Quick Overview

The 2024 English Premier League season is shaping up to be a thrilling contest. As we move further into the season, the english premier league table is beginning to take shape, with a few teams establishing themselves as strong contenders for the title and Champions League qualification. However, the beauty of the EPL lies in its unpredictability, and opportunities for profitable bets exist beyond simply backing the favorites.

Understanding Odd Bets in EPL Betting - Beyond the Favorites

Many bettors focus on the obvious choices, leading to diminished returns. Odd bets refer to wagers on outcomes with lower implied probability, meaning higher potential payouts. These aren't necessarily reckless gambles; they're informed selections based on thorough analysis identifying where bookmakers have underestimated a team or player’s chances. Utilizing an odd bet calculator can be crucial for understanding the true value of these less conventional wagers.

Why Value Lies in Targeting Less Obvious Outcomes

The key to successful EPL betting isn’t always about predicting the winner. It’s about finding value – identifying discrepancies between the perceived probability of an event and the actual probability. This is where focusing on odd bets can be extremely rewarding.

Title Race: Beyond Manchester City & Arsenal

While Manchester City and Arsenal are consistently at the top, the title race is far from decided. Exploring value bets outside these two giants can yield significant returns.

Manchester City – Analyzing Their Strengths & Weaknesses

Manchester City’s dominance is undeniable, but even they have vulnerabilities. Looking for opportunities to bet against them in specific matchups, particularly when facing highly motivated opponents with strong defensive records, can present value.

Arsenal – Can They Maintain the Pressure?

Arsenal’s impressive form hinges on maintaining consistency and avoiding key injuries. Betting on them to drop points against tough away fixtures or against teams that specifically target their midfield could be a smart move.

Liverpool – Resurgence & Potential for a Strong Finish

Liverpool’s resurgence under their manager has been remarkable. Identifying opportunities to back them in games where they’re slight underdogs, especially at Anfield, could prove profitable.

Aston Villa – Dark Horse Contender?

Aston Villa’s surprising form makes them a compelling dark horse. While a title win might be a stretch, betting on them to secure a Champions League spot or outperform expectations in individual matches offers good value.

Top Four Battle: Heated Competition & High Reward

The race for the top four is incredibly competitive. Tottenham, Manchester United and Newcastle are all vying for Champions League qualification, presenting a wealth of betting opportunities.

Tottenham Hotspur – Holding Their Ground?

Tottenham’s success depends on their ability to maintain consistency. An odd bet here might be backing them to win narrowly in tight games or to outperform their expected goals (xG) in key fixtures.

Manchester United – Can Ten Hag Turn Things Around?

Manchester United’s inconsistent form makes them a difficult team to bet on. Focusing on specific performance bets, such as players to receive cards or make key interceptions, could be more reliable than outright match results.

Newcastle United – Consistency is Key

Newcastle’s attacking prowess is undeniable, but their defensive vulnerabilities can be exploited. Identifying games where they face strong attacking teams and betting on “Both Teams to Score” could be a profitable strategy.

Goal Scoring Markets: Finding Value Beyond the Top Scorers

The goal-scoring markets offer a diverse range of betting opportunities beyond simply backing the leading goalscorers.

“Both Teams to Score” - Identifying High Probability Matches

Analyzing teams' attacking and defensive statistics can reveal high-probability “Both Teams to Score” matches. Teams with strong attacking records but leaky defenses are prime candidates.

“Over/Under” Goals – Leveraging Team Statistics & Form

Studying team form and average goals scored/conceded is crucial for “Over/Under” goal bets. Look for teams playing open, attacking football or those with a history of high-scoring encounters.

First Goalscorer - Identifying Players with Favorable Matchups

Consider players with a good track record of scoring early goals, particularly in games against weaker defenses.

Player Performance Bets: Beyond Goal Scorer – Key Stats to Watch

Expand your betting horizons beyond goalscorers by focusing on key player statistics.

Shots on Target – Focusing on Players with High Shooting Frequency

Players who consistently take a high number of shots on target represent good value in this market.

Assists – Identifying Playmakers in Good Form

Playmakers who are consistently creating chances for their teammates are excellent candidates for assist bets.

Tackles/Interceptions – Defensive Players Offering Value

Defensive players who are consistently making tackles and interceptions can offer good value, particularly in games where their team is expected to defend a lot.

Correct Score Bets: High Risk, High Reward - Where’s the Value?

Correct score bets are notoriously difficult to predict, but they offer high payouts.

Analyzing Recent Trends in Specific Fixtures

Identifying consistent scorelines in specific fixtures can provide valuable insights.

Identifying Teams Prone to Specific Scorelines

Some teams have a tendency to win by a particular margin.

Handicap Betting: Leveling the Playing Field

Handicap betting allows you to level the playing field and increase your chances of winning.

Asian Handicap Explained: Maximizing Your Chances

Understanding Asian handicap betting is crucial for maximizing your returns.

When to Back Teams with a -1 or +1 Handicap

Consider backing teams with a -1 handicap when you expect them to win comfortably and teams with a +1 handicap when you believe they can avoid a heavy defeat.

Team-Specific Value Bets

To get the most out of your bets, you should consider downloading the odd bet app download to stay up to date.

Manchester United – Specific Betting Opportunities

Manchester United's recent struggles present opportunities for value bets. Betting against them to win comfortably in tough away fixtures or backing opponents to score against them could be profitable. Key Players to Watch: Bruno Fernandes and Rasmus Hojlund. Best Bets for Upcoming Fixtures: Opponent to score, under 2.5 goals in away matches.

Tottenham Hotspur – Specific Betting Opportunities

Tottenham's reliance on Son Heung-min provides a clear betting avenue. Backing Son to score in games against weaker defenses or to have a high number of shots on target could be smart. Key Players to Watch: Son Heung-min, James Maddison. Best Bets for Upcoming Fixtures: Son to score anytime, Tottenham to win with a -1 handicap against weaker opponents.

Risk Management & Responsible Betting

Successful betting requires discipline and responsible risk management.

Setting a Budget and Sticking To It

Determine a budget you’re comfortable losing and stick to it.

Understanding Bankroll Management

Divide your bankroll into smaller units and bet only a small percentage on each wager.

Utilizing Comparison Sites for the Best Odds

Compare odds from different bookmakers to ensure you’re getting the best possible value.

Conclusion

Recap of Key Value Bets

Focus on identifying odd bets where bookmakers have underestimated a team or player’s chances. Utilize tools like an odd bet calculator to assess value.

Staying Updated with the latest EPL News and Form

Keep abreast of team news, injuries, and form to make informed betting decisions. Always check the premier league fixtures before placing your bets.

Final Thoughts on EPL Betting in 2024

The 2024 EPL season promises plenty of excitement and betting opportunities. By focusing on value, managing risk, and staying informed, you can increase your chances of success.